Wednesday, July 16, 2014

2014 Fantasy Football Augury, Chapter 22: Jacksonville Jaguars

Full disclosure, folks:  there ain't much to love around Jacksonville except for the weather.

Chad Henne started 13 games as a Jaguar last season.  He was the poster child of mediocrity.  But in all fairness, he didn't have a whole hell of a lot to work with.

There's no need to dwell on the subject, because everyone knows how this will end.  Henne will start most of the season, but Blake Bortles is the heir apparent.  Neither should be on your fantasy roster unless you are experiencing the worst fantasy football season ever.


One of the big unknowns this fantasy season is where to rank Toby Gerhart.  When you back up Adrian Peterson, you don't get on the field an awful lot and Gerhart has only 353 touches under his belt over the past four seasons.

But we see it frequently: a player just needs an opportunity to show what he can do and Gerhart is now the main man on his new team.  There's a LOT of tread left on Gerhart's tires and he's going to be put to work.

Gerhart is a four year veteran, he's tough as nails, and has become a very good all-around running back.

I would not be surprised to see Gerhart rush for 1,000 yards and grab 400 yards through the air (he has 77 receptions in his career).  That makes him a second tier player.  He is a fantasy dark horse in 2014.

Cecil Shorts isn't going to be taken early in any fantasy draft, but he could be a tremendous value pick in later rounds.   Timing is everything.

He's had 1,756 yards receiving and 10 touchdowns over the last two seasons; last year he was limited to 13 games due to a nagging groin injury, but finished with 123 targets and 777 yards.  He's the go-to receiver in Jacksonville now that Justin Blackmon has pretty much pissed his career away.

Shorts isn't more than a third tier receiver, but he's a nice flex option.

Rookies Marqise Lee and Allen Robinson, and midget Ace Sanders are the next best fantasy options, but that's not saying a whole lot.  If you need to rely on either on a weekly basis, you have a mess on your hands.

If Marcedes Lewis played on a better team, he would be a decent fantasy tight end.  Back in 2010, he had 700 yards receiving and 10 touchdowns.  But, as the NFL goes, that is ancient history.

Since then, he's had eight touchdowns in the last three seasons combined and has never gone over 540 yards receiving.  He missed five games last year due to a lingering calf injury and at this point, he's barely employable as a back-up fantasy tight end.

Draft Well!
That Damn Sam
"Fantasy Football for the Forsaken Few"